No long write ups today as it is Southwell and generally like a Rugby tour “What Happens At Southwell, Stays At Southwell”.
I will simply post a few selections and a small reason why.
4:15 – I have gone for 2 here, both at decent prices, firstly Muqarred is My CD Top Rated and is on a decent mark with a Jockey upgrade. Secondly Maykir is 2 from 2 over CD and is 3lbs better off with Luscifer even though he finished over 12L in front of that rival in October.
5:15 – I think Birkenhead may well be ahead of the handicapper and he beat the 3 Dixon runs soundly over CD on his penultimate start. Lewis Edmunds has built up a great relationship with Trainer Les Eyre and they generally operate at an almost 19% strike rate together with an A/E of 2.02 and +12.64 WAX. If we narrow it down to the AW runners only then the strike rate jumps to 27.59% with a whopping A/E of 2.58 although the WAX figure does drop slightly to +9.8. It is when we narrow it down to this track only that we see a massive change with a 43.75% strike rate and an A/E of 2.95. They are 7 from 10 here over 5 and 6 furlong. The only worry is that there is a “Southwell Maffia” comprising of a few of these trainers and it looks to me like there may be spoiling tactics afoot.
6:15 – London has to be worth a small interest returned to the CD of his last career win which was back in 2018 off a 25lbs higher mark. He has had his 3 quick fitness runs after returning from almost 2 years off the track and Luke Morris takes over in the saddle.