Chelmsford – Thursday

It was nice to get a decent priced winner yesterday but a shame the second horse was sent forward too early. I honestly did not expect to see her until the death, but thats racing and we must move on.

  • 5:30 – I don’t generally back fillies this time of year but I did think Taste The Nectar looked slightly over-priced. With the 3 outside stalls likely to go forward she should be able to get a good lead in to the race then pounce late on the outside.
  • 6:00 – A poorer race I doubt you will find so finding a runner you expect to run to form is difficult. CD winner on his penultimate start Rosarno would normally be a logical place to start unless you consider he only beat a 43 rated runner who was 7lbs wrong at the weights then struggled lto when back in to a handicap. Come On Bear looks the obvious one due to the fact she won an Apprentice race lto in which today’s jockeys was not allowed to claim over a similar trip at Wolverhampton but today she has been dropped 1lb for that win and the jockey can claim his full 7lbs allowance making her 8lbs well in racing in a weaker looking race. There is the obvious worry of the bounce as she was returning from almost 6 months off the track but I really think she will be tough to beat here. The British Lion will nick one of these soon but personally recent CD form figures of 2,2 are flattering as he was beaten 4 lengths each time.
  • 6:30 – At current odds I have given Voice Of A Leader a chance, he finished in front of Roca Magic lto giving her 2lbs and they meet on level weights today. Dukes Meadow is well handicapped and may run well at decent odds.
  • 8:00 – I did quite like Godolphin’s supposed third string here, Reflectionist. It is not often Charlie Appleby puts a hood on his racecourse debutantes but we should take note when he does as his strike rate is 47.62% with 13 of the 21 qualifiers either won or were placed and although Sea The Stars progeny may be better known for some of the other AW surfaces his progeny have a 31.71% strike rate over CD
  • 8:30 – With a couple of runners from the Butler yard in here and one entered earlier the running and markets will be the best guide to this race. Temujin is interesting on first run for Mick Appleby as is the Frankel Gelding, Fronsac . Although I will not be playing until just before the off The one I will take a chance on providing no strong market indications elsewhere is Kilbaha Lady who has some of the best Speed Figures in the field and she did go close over CD in October off today’s mark.

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