An up and down day yesterday but the weather did’nt help.
- 4:00 Southwell – Amazing Amaya, went close lto over CD off this mark finishing a neck behind Final Legacy giving that rival 10lbs, recieves 2lbs today so 12lbs should see a reversal. CD winner in December off 46 has some decent CD speed figures, Jorvik Prince is in great form recently and clear recent Top Speed. Has won off higher marks so interesting on fibresand debut although pedigree does not scream fibresand. Piazon is My CD Top Rated and now 3lbs below last AW winning mark which was over CD off 3lbs higher and has won off 21lbs higher in the past. Has finished behind Red Stripes twice but has the beating of Final Legacy and Qaaraat. Red Stripes Struggled off this mark over CD on penultimate start. Warriors Valley is a 3 time CD winner, last 2 wins have come off 9 & 4lbs higher. Has a chance if mastering Red Stripes early and this drop in grade may help but all wins have come when well found in the market so let that be the guide. Red Invader is back down to a winnable mark now 3lbs below last winning mark which was over CD but has work to do on figures. If Warriors Valley can return to form then the market will more than likely indicate that but without that support I will take a chance on Piazon who will more than likely sit in just behind the early speed of Warriors Valley and Red Stripes.
- 6:00 Kempton – This to me revolves around Meghan Sparkle who’s trainer has a 20% strike rate with his first time handicappers but the one I like is Chloellie who is 7lbs below her last winning mark which was over this CD and looks primed for this return to CD after what look a series of handicapping runs. Her record at Kempton is strong with 12 runs, 5 wins and 4 placed efforts with 2 wins and 4 places off higher marks than today. She is 2 from 6 over CD having never failed to at least place, beating 84.375% of her rivals. David Probert takes back over in the saddle and he is 3 from 4 on this runner and 2 from 2 when taking over from another jockey.