The market proved as good a guide as any yesterday and I think the same will be the case today. I have found one that I feel may go well at a price.
1.50 Newmarket (Rowley) (11 runners)
6f (1320 yards)
Class 2, Good To Firm, 3yo, Win: £16172
RACE SUMMARY : There looks to be plenty of early speed here with at least four confirmed front-runners in the line up. Alfie Solomons in stall 11 and Obryn Martell stall 10 looking the best drawn. With the likes of Chapeli, Jacks Point and Yousini all drawn low also liking to race prominent there should be a decent gallop which looks likely to play in to the hands of Moyassar and Don Armado. The latter looked one to follow last season when winning a Goodwood Nursery back in August. He finished a length in front of Alfie Solomons that day and meets the same rival on 2lbs better terms with both wins coming on good to firm. His final run of 2018 was possibly his strongest effort, although finishing fifth it was in Group 3 Company behind the well thought of and easy John Gosden winner Kessaar, the now 104 rated True Mason, yesterday’s Listed winner Shine So Bright and recent Nottingham winner Garrus who has now been rated 105. Yousini looks likely to improve as a three-year old but maybe over further although there does look plenty of speed on her dam’s side and was unbeaten on good to firm as a juvenile. Chapelli may well have needed her come back run at Pontefract and does bring some decent form with her although the proximity of some much lesser rated runners is a slight concern, that added to the fact I am still reluctant to back the fillies at this time of year. Moyassar may well improve as a three-year old but does need to on juvenile form. His sire improved to be a Group 1 winner. Breath Of Air also brings some strong form to the race, with his run at Newbury in September looking possibly the strongest form on offer. He beat 2000 Guineas entry Mohaather who won his next three races including two Group 3 contests and now 114 rated. Breath Of Air was beaten next time by now 105 and 102 rated runners but finished in front of the above mentioned Garrus.
SELECTION : DON ARMADO is what he is and does look vulnerable to an improver but bar the favourite and possibly YOUSINI, I have struggled to find that improver so at 14/1 I have split my stake 20/80% Win/Place
DANGER : BREATH OF AIR looks the most likely winner if carrying on where he left off as a juvenile so I have included him in a few multiples, I have also played a tricast with DON ARMARDO and YOUSINI
3.00 Newmarket (Rowley) (8 runners)
Connaught Access Flooring Abernant
Stakes (Group 3)
6f (1320 yards)
Group 3, Good To Firm, 3yo+, Win: £34026
A no bet race for me but BRANDO looks difficult to oppose have won this race for the last two years on the back of similar breaks and is 4 from 4 when returning from 150+ days break. CD winner GIFTED MASTER looks the obvious alternative.
3.35 Newmarket (Rowley) (8 runners)
bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3)
1m (1760 yards)
Group 3, Good To Firm, 3yo, Win: £34026
Too close to call for me but I will be playing at very small stakes on MOMKIN mainly to place.