A cracking card at Chelmsford this evening but the winners won’t come easy.
RACE SUMMARY 19:00
PACE VERDICT : Secret Art may get an uncontested lead and be able to dictate the speed from the front.
PACE SELECTION : Main Street
RACE SUMMARY : Secret Art looks the only confirmed front runner over this trip in the field so may well be able to dictate the speed from the front. He may need this run though plus a little help from the handicapper. He did win a similar level CD event in May last year but off a 6lbs lower mark plus having had the benefit of a couple of recent runs. Main Street is the one I like here having won over CD when with John Gosden. He later went close in a Listed Event but struggled after that when given a mark of 99. He has since left John Gosden and this is his fourth run for David Elsworth but more importantly steps back up to 10 furlongs and return to this CD after what can only be considered a recent warm up run over 7 furlongs. The benefit of 3 runs and the fact Oisin Murphy has kept the ride suggest his turn may not be far away. Swiss Storm clearly
has the talent but looks very unreliable. Nonios has won 3 times over CD latest off a 3lbs lower mark but that is negated by the Jockeys 5lbs Claim. D Hogan has recently won on this runner over today’s trip at Lingfield off a mark of 91 but he could only claim 3lbs that day, he races off 92 today but the jockey gets his full 5lbs so theoretically is 1lb well in albeit in a stronger race.
SELECTION : Main Street
DANGER : Nonios
RACE SUMMARY 20:00
PACE VERDICT : Another Angel, Bosham and Drakefell look the obvious Early Speed runners and may contest the early lead so a decent gallop looks likely which may suit a runner coming from off the speed
RACE SUMMARY : Bosham looks the best drawn of those likely to go forward but the likes of Another Angel and Drakefell do have better early speed ratings so this could be a fierce battle for the early lead. Poyle Vinnie is very well handicapped having last won off a 15lbs higher mark but that was at Southwell just over two years ago. He has gone close several times over CD off higher marks than today with his latest being a CD second off 87 in a race with an average rating of 12lbs higher than today’s race. He is back down to his lowest mark since 2014, will be suited by the likely strong gallop but will need a lot of luck in running from stall 1. From 35 runs over CD Dynamo Walt is My Top Rated winning 7 and placed 7 times with 5 of those wins coming off higher marks than today and Paddy Mathers is 5 from 17 on this horse over CD. He too should be suited by a strong gallop but it is over 3 years since he has won returning from a longer break than 27 days. Although officially still above his last winning mark Zac Brown is actually 3lbs below his last AW winning mark which came here this time last year over 6f and he won over CD a year earlier off a 13lbs higher mark (9lbs taking in to account the jockeys claim). I have a sneaky suspicion though that this drop to 5 furlongs may be part of his cycle so will watch the market closely.
SELECTION : Dynamo Walt
DANGER : Zac Brown
OTHER CHELMSFORD SELECTIONS:
- 18:30 – Able Jack
- 19:30 – Sharp Operator
- 20:30 – Masters Apprentice/Heron