Tuesday 5th February

Nice to bag a 7/1 winner on my first day back but Today’s racing is bordering on terrible. Newcastle is not My favourite punting track but there is one I have backed.

The presence of a 45 rated, first time blinkered Mark Prescott runner at Newcastle dropped in trip makes this a little trickier. All things being above board FLOOD DEFENCE looks to have a great chance. The last three races she has contested had an average rated runner of 68,69 and 61 and she finished third, third and fourth, meeting “trouble” in running the last twice over this trip at Wolverhampton. She drops in to this extremely weak 0-65 with only three runners rated 60 plus with an average rated runner of 51. She should be suited by how this track has been riding lately as she likes to come from off
the speed so with a few of these likely to go forward including the first time blinkered Prescott runner dropping back in trip who I expect to be ridden aggressively we should get an honest gallop and a true test. The very capable Theodore Ladd takes 5lbs off her back and with the width of this track she should have no trouble in running. I honestly thought she would be close to an even money shot so even though 3/1 is not my usual bet I still feel she offers great value.

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