Kempton – Wednesday

A very poor days racing on Wednesday but there are two runners I am quite interested in and both run at Kempton and both are ridden by jockey James Doyle.

6:40 Kempton: A speculative play here on Horse Profile - Jockey ColoursAlshahhad, a three-year old gelding by Dubawi whose three-year old progeny have a decent 20.59% strike rate when making their racecourse debut on a polytrack surface and are 4 from 12 over 8 furlongs. In the last two years on the All Weather James Doyle has operated at an incredible 44.44% strike rate on three-year olds from the William Haggas stable that run in non handicap races.

8:10 Kempton: Horse Profile - Jockey Colours Magellan ticks a lot of boxes here and is 2 out of 2 on the All Weather so far including winning a competitive race here over 11 furlongs. On breeding the extra furlong should prove ideal being by Sea The Stars whose progeny have a 26.67% strike rate over 12 furlongs on a polytrack surface and are 10 from 33 over CD. James Doyle has generally operated at a 22.13% strike in All Weather Handicaps over the past two years and is 12 from 46 at Kempton during that same time period. He is 2 from 2 for Roger Charlton at Kempton, 3 from 3 on the All Weather and has generally being operating at a 42.86% strike rate for the stable over the last two years.

Magellan would be the strongest fancy of the two and I have backed him in a single at 9/4 and played a double with Alshahhad

 

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