Goodwood – Day 2

With a lot depending on the ground and ever-changing conditions tomorrow is another day of limited investment.

1:50: With only one runner proven over CD and very little in the form of stats or trends to go on it is not a race I will be getting too involved in but the Richard Hughes runner Great Sound may be worth a small interest now 3lbs lower than his very cosy win over 13½ furlongs back in August 2017 when trained by J Gosden. He is having only his fourth run for the yard and only his second run after wind surgery, 33/1 looks a decent price.

2:25: Infrastructure should go well and could follow-up his latest win. He had earlier finished behind Corgi but that race was not run to suit and with Baileys Excelerate likely to take them forward he should get a better gallop to aim at here. Lynwood Gale is a lively outsider under Joe Fanning who has a 22.22% strike rate here in these type of races for M Johnston.

3:00: On My Ratings I have this very close between Street Parade and Soldier’s Call. It is difficult to know what to make of the form, the form of Soldier’s Call has a more solid look to it with the most recent win at Listed level and he has already beaten a few of today’s rivals. Street Parades form may not be as strong class wise but he has won his last two races by over 10 lengths and that form has since been boosted. Street Parade may be the one to go with at the odds but my play will be a reverse forecast.

3:35 Goodwood 1m Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo+)

It generally pays to follow the younger generation in this race, with seven of the last ten winners being three-year olds, with four of those sired by Galileo including Frankel who won this race twice and he now sires the favourite Without Parole. Good recent form is a must with twenty of the last twenty-one winners either winning (13) or finishing second (7) on their latest start. The market is not always the best guide to finding the winner with last years winner returning at 20/1. We can discount several of the runners on the above trends, namely So Beloved (age/form), Lightning Spear (age/form), Lord Glitters (age) and begrudgingly Gustav Klimt (form). Without Parole finished ½ length in front of Gustav Klimt at Royal Ascot. Beat The Bank has yet to prove himself at this level with the same comment applying to Expert Eye although both are proven at the track only Beat The Bank has won over Course and Distance. The French raider, Orbaan is very unexposed, having only his fourth start. He won a Listed Event last time out and is now two from two for Silvestre De Sousa and may be over-priced at 33/1 with negatives about the majority of the field but it is a rather boring that I go with Without Parole who I have well clear on ratings and is proven at this level. I have played Gustav Klimt in the forecast and I will play Orbaan in the place market.

4:45: Four White Socks should appreciate the return to turf and Handicap Company after contesting a Group 3 on the AW most recently. I have a sneaky suspicion that Musical Art is better than she has shown and the sire’s three-year olds have a 21% strike rate at the track and are 3 from 8 over CD.

5:55: I will take a chance with last year’s comfortable winner Truth Or Dare who won off a 2lbs higher mark when looked campaigned for that race and the same applies here.

6:20 Sandown: I have Free Love penciled in here but I will wait until after Street Parade has run before committing fully.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s